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Carstonio's avatar

Joy Reid captured a major part of the problem seven years ago:

https://www.salon.com/2019/06/30/msnbcs-joy-reid-how-america-can-save-itself-from-trump-and-trumpism/

“I looked at a ton of polling and research for this book, like one of the things that came out very clearly was that the idea of economic anxiety electing Trump was completely made up and bogus. There’s no data to support it. As a matter of fact, to the extent that a white American is economically anxious, it produced either no vote at all or a vote for Hilary Clinton. Hilary Clinton is the person who economically anxious white voters voted for. Or like most poor people, white poor people don’t vote.

“People who voted for Trump may not have had a college degree, but they’re a cop or a plumber, a fireman. They’re somebody with money. They just don’t have a college degree, so the nomenclature is all wrong. But the kind of person that the data shows does vote for Trump, or did vote for Trump, or really likes him is the kind of white American who feels that they are now victimized, that racism really is directed at white people. That white Americans are becoming the minority and are being besieged and persecuted by liberals, by east coast elites, by people of color. They actually feel that affirmative action is victimizing them, that their place in America to the extent that it isn’t as economically robust as it used to be is not because of anything they’ve done wrong, it’s because immigrants are stealing, immigrants are taking their jobs, people are picking their pocket who are brown or who are Muslim. Muslims are destroying Christianity. Gays are destroying marriage. Trans people are destroying the bathrooms.

“It’s always some other group that is hurting them. And so that sense of victimization is a real feature of base conservatism and the perfect avatar for that is the guy who feels like the ultimate victim, the ultimate white. Donald Trump used to say a thing in the ’90s where he’s like, you know I think I’d be better off if I was a black. I’d be better off is I was a black because then I’d get all kinds of free stuff. I’d get affirmative action. I’d have a leg up. The blacks are better off than us. That is what the Trump voter thinks.”

Alexander Turok's avatar

It's the median voter theorem. Democratic politicians know that blacks and feminists do not have anywhere else to go. They can afford to focus all their efforts on swing voters.

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